This is one of the few times I'm actually going to say something positive about modeling in political science. I've talked in the past here and here about why I intensely dislike the hegemony of mathematical modeling and statistical methods in the discipline. However, I will allow myself to be completely hypocritical when I serves my own personal viewpoint.
The American Political Science Association recently came out with press releases claiming that the majority of Presidential election forecasting models are predicting an Obama win in the popular vote and that Democrats will make seat gains in both the House and Senate. If both these predictions actually come true I will eat my words on modeling in political science . . . well for just a few days :)
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